How large are the drawdowns?
Otto's largest backtested drawdown and its largest live drawdown to date are both published, each labelled as backtest or live, on the live results and backtest pages, where they update automatically. The backtest covers 17 years. Drawdown scales with the risk setting you choose, so a higher setting means deeper drawdowns as well as larger gains. The figures are not printed here because the only version worth quoting is the one on the record.
What happens in a market crash?
Each position is closed at its stop loss. Otto then halves its position sizes while the account is in drawdown, and beyond a set limit it stops opening new trades until the account recovers. The Index Dip-Buy strategy has an additional filter that prevents it from buying into an unusually large single-bar fall, so it does not step in front of a genuine collapse. Otto's 17-year backtest spans several past market shocks, which are named on the backtest page.
How do I know the results are real?
Otto's accounts are monitored by Karnek through a read-only connection to the broker, which records each trade from the broker's own data. Nothing is uploaded and the record cannot be edited, by us or by anyone else. You can open the live record and check every trade, with its stop loss and target, before you decide to buy.
What exactly is the backtest?
Otto's own simulation of the six core strategies across 17 years of market history, on realistic spreads, commission and slippage. The full method is published on the backtest page. It is a backtest, not a live record, and it is labelled as one wherever it appears. Karnek records the live trades, read-only from the broker, it does not run the backtest.